Bro, I honestly don’t see how SC can “succeed”. SQ42 will be a huge hit, generate funding for the other 2 episodes, etc. I will happily play it and enjoy it. But the PU? 8 years in and massive aspects of the game, things people PAID for, aren’t in the foreseeable future? 100 systems down to 2? It has 1/10th the PvE content of Eve Online, which is a dedicated PvP game. IMHO, SC will never actually launch. The studio will continue to sell ships for the fictional PU while cranking out episodes of SQ42. The PU will exist in this eternal “alpha”. The Lumberyard engine is already grossly out dated, the people look like mannequins, the movement is clumsy and games like Witcher 3, released years ago, blow it away with sheer beauty. Epics new Unreal MetaHuman creator is simply stunning. I expect within the next 2 years CIG will announce a complete retooling of everything, a massive overhaul of the engine, which will set development back 12 years while they re-do everything, just to try to be competitive.
Again, SQ42 will come out, and it will be amazing, but CIG lacks the basic understanding of how human beings interact to be able to release the PU in any form that will be remotely successful, and honestly releasing it would be the worst thing they could do, as that (in theory, according to their “promises”) will end all RTM funding, ship buying, etc, and as long as there are suckers buying ships, they can and will sell them.